Desarrollo económico, inversión en transporte y urbanización en México: causalidad y efectos

The transport investment is often used as a tool for economic development and urbanization. However, there still debate about whether improvements promote urbanization or, conversely, these latter create the conditions that stimulate transport. In theory, system contributes to because it speeds up exchange of goods services, but effects can also be reversed, so direction causality not easily identified. This work uses Mexican state information 1988-2018 period, grouped panel, know both magnitude impacts. Methodology consists in cointegration tests VECM regressions. results reveal long-term goes from its subsectors, which means necessary condition modernize Mexico. For urbanization, vary depending on subsector. total economy passenger sector’s investments cause transportation subsectors cargo carriers communications estimate two-way causality. conclusions suggest depends latter, turn, development.